Following the official collapse of talks in Islamabad, Trump announced a naval blockade of Hormuz "immediately" and promised to leave Iran without electricity for 10 years; oil futures jumped 7%.
21 hours of negotiations in Islamabad ended without an agreement — Vance left empty-handed. In parallel, US destroyers entered the Strait of Hormuz for demining operations; the IRGC issued a "final warning."
The US and Iran sat down for direct talks in Islamabad for the first time. Simultaneously, an Israeli strike killed 13 Lebanese state security personnel, and Iran imposed a transit fee exceeding $1 million per tanker passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran officially confirmed for the first time the presence of naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz and published alternative routes — the strait is effectively closed one day after the ceasefire. Netanyahu approved direct negotiations with Lebanon while continuing airstrikes.
On the first day of the two-week ceasefire, Israel launched 100 airstrikes on Lebanon — at least 254 killed; Iran immediately re-closed the Strait of Hormuz and declared three violations of the deal.
IRGC Intelligence Chief General Hadami and Quds Force Commander Bageri were eliminated in Tehran; Iran rejected a proposed 45-day ceasefire, demanding a permanent end to hostilities; Trump stated Iran "can be taken out in one night — possibly tomorrow."
F-15E weapon systems officer extracted after a 30-hour operation involving destruction of two C-130s on Iranian territory; Iran struck Dimona claiming a hit on the Negev nuclear facility; Trump moved the ultimatum from April 6 to April 8 and reported "good chances for a deal."
A projectile damaged an auxiliary building at the Bushehr nuclear plant — one guard killed, IAEA expressed "deep concern"; an Iranian ballistic missile with a cluster warhead struck residential areas of Ramat Gan; Trump issued Iran a 48-hour ultimatum over the Strait of Hormuz.
The US lost an F-15E over Iran and an A-10 in the Persian Gulf; Iranian drones struck the Mina Al-Ahmadi oil refinery in Kuwait and AWS data centers in the UAE; the mediation mission of Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia officially failed; WTI surpassed Brent for the first time in years.
The US destroyed Iran's largest bridge in a double strike (8 killed) and damaged the Pasteur Institute — WHO confirmed it has ceased operations; oil rebounded to $109–113 after Trump promised "very hard strikes for another 2–3 weeks"; a UK-led coalition of 40 countries convened on Hormuz without US participation.
The US struck the residence of former Iranian Foreign Minister Kharazi (wife killed, Kharazi himself in critical condition); Trump in a prime-time address reversed his position — reopening Hormuz is again a condition for a deal; Brent fell $13 to $104.86.
Strikes on energy infrastructure caused a blackout in Tehran and Karaj; the White House unexpectedly announced that reopening the Strait of Hormuz is "not a key goal" of the war; Brent closed at $118 — a monthly gain of over 60%, the largest since 1988.
Trump posted on Truth Social threatening to destroy Iran's oil wells and Kharg Island if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened. Iranian strikes hit the Ruwais refinery in the UAE and a Kuwaiti power plant (1 killed); an airstrike on Mahallat killed 11 civilians including 3 children.
The US and Israel struck Tehran's energy infrastructure; rolling blackouts hit the capital. The Pentagon is preparing ground operations near the Strait of Hormuz and Kharg Island. Iran warned: "we are waiting for American soldiers to set them on fire." The Houthis launched a second attack on Israel. Oil rose to $116/bbl.
Houthis fired on Israel for the first time since the war began; Iran struck Tel Aviv with a cluster missile (1 killed) and hit US Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia (15+ wounded). Pakistan secured passage for 20 vessels through Hormuz and announced readiness to host direct US–Iran talks.
Israel struck Iranian nuclear and naval facilities; IRGC Navy Commander Alireza Tangsiri eliminated in Bandar Abbas. The US extended its pause on energy infrastructure strikes until April 6, awaiting Iran's response to a 15-point peace plan delivered through Pakistan.
Israel announced the elimination of the IRGC Navy commander in Bandar Abbas; Iran rejected the American peace plan as "maximalist"; the pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure expires March 28.
Russia begins emergency evacuation of Bushehr NPP personnel after a strike 350 meters from the reactor; Iran officially rejected the US 15-point peace plan, presenting 5 counter-conditions; the Pentagon simultaneously prepares to deploy the 82nd Airborne Division; Brent retreats to $101.
On March 24, US and Israeli forces carried out new strikes on Tehran; Iran responded with a missile salvo targeting Tel Aviv. Trump announced a 5-day pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, citing "productive talks" — Tehran denies any negotiations took place.
Trump announced a 5-day moratorium on strikes against Iranian power plants, citing negotiations by Kushner and Witkoff; Iran denied any talks took place. Brent crashed from $114 to $96 on the pause news — a potential insider trading scandal. Iran used cluster warheads against the Tel Aviv metropolitan area for the first time; IDF and US Air Force carried out "unprecedented" strikes on Tehran, including the IRGC headquarters.
Tehran rejected the ultimatum, threatened to mine the entire Persian Gulf and submitted a conditional shipping proposal to the IMO; Trump announced "negotiations" — Iran denies them. IAEA confirmed damage at Natanz. Brent $112 (+$6).
For the first time in the conflict, a nuclear facility has been struck — the Ahmadi Roshan uranium enrichment plant in Natanz; Iran responded with strikes on Dimona and an attempt to reach Diego Garcia. Trump issued Tehran a 48-hour ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz, threatening strikes on power plants.
Israel carried out airstrikes on Tehran during Nowruz — the first wartime Persian New Year in 45 years; Iran struck Kuwait's oil refinery at Mina al-Ahmadi a second time. Trump spoke of "winding down" the operation while simultaneously dispatching additional Marine forces to the region and calling NATO allies "cowards."
Israel, with Trump's approval, struck the world's largest gas field, South Pars; Iran retaliated by destroying 17% of Qatar's LNG capacity, killed two people in Ramat Gan, and promised further energy strikes. Brent crude broke through $119.
Iran launched a massive retaliatory strike on Israel using cluster warheads following the assassinations of Larijani and Suleimani; oil reached $108; the US NCTC director resigned calling the war illegal; allies refused Trump's request for help at Hormuz.
On March 17, Israel eliminated senior security advisor Ali Larijani and Basij commander Gholamreza Soleimani; simultaneously, a ground operation was launched in southern Lebanon. HRANA documented 3,114 deaths in Iran, including 1,354 civilians.
The US and Israel continue massive strikes (day 16), including against the oil hub of Kharg Island; Iran deployed the Sejil-2 missile and denies any negotiations; Brent crude at $103/bbl, Strait of Hormuz blocked.
On day 16 of the US-Israel war against Iran, Israeli aircraft strike Tehran, the IRGC attacks vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf cities; oil holds above $103, with more than 1,850 deaths since February 28.
The United States carried out a major strike on the oil export terminal at Kharg Island; Iran simultaneously attacked the UAE, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia — the majority of missiles and drones were intercepted. By March 14, the civilian death toll in Iran exceeded 1,300, with 3.2 million internally displaced.
On day 14 of the war, Israel struck Ferdowsi Square in Tehran during a Quds Day rally — 1 woman killed; a US KC-135 tanker crashed in Iraq (6 dead); new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, in his first address, demanded the Strait of Hormuz remain closed.
The US and Israel continue airstrikes against Iran on day 13 of the war; Iran has put forward three ceasefire conditions, blocked the Strait of Hormuz, and attacked six vessels in the Persian Gulf. Civilian casualties have exceeded 1,300, oil holds above $110.
Day 12 of the US-Israeli war with Iran: the Pentagon declared the "most intense day" of strikes, the IRGC threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz ("not a liter of oil"), Brent closed at $91.98. Iran's death toll exceeded 1,300 according to state media; Israel is also striking Lebanon.
On day 11 of the US-Israel war with Iran, Defense Secretary Hegseth announced the "most intense strike" of the entire operation; the death toll in Iran exceeds 1,200, in Lebanon — 570. Tehran threatens to block the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude reached $126 per barrel. In parallel, Washington froze trilateral negotiations on Ukraine.